Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.173062 0.201156 0.232415 0.269784 0.313267 0.362294 0.421813
2025-03-09 0.131092 0.168961 0.215657 0.277540 0.357521 0.457590 0.592605
2025-03-16 0.106577 0.147435 0.201498 0.278403 0.385263 0.528923 0.737482
2025-03-23 0.091450 0.134005 0.193639 0.283520 0.416027 0.604964 0.896255
2025-03-30 0.077446 0.119243 0.180779 0.278269 0.429532 0.656471 1.025069
2025-04-06 0.067237 0.108201 0.171229 0.275636 0.445223 0.711532 1.164814
2025-04-13 0.059727 0.100067 0.164682 0.276176 0.465021 0.774229 1.323646
2025-04-20 0.055762 0.096999 0.165576 0.288499 0.505020 0.873687 1.555683
2025-04-27 0.051927 0.093548 0.165228 0.298370 0.541642 0.971310 1.796757
2025-05-04 0.048346 0.090015 0.164178 0.306631 0.576066 1.068680 2.049462
2025-05-11 0.044362 0.085200 0.160175 0.308817 0.599283 1.147984 2.277991
2025-05-18 0.040204 0.079514 0.153837 0.305672 0.611702 1.208015 2.476170
2025-05-25 0.035708 0.072715 0.144755 0.296387 0.611579 1.245031 2.636079
2025-06-01 0.033649 0.070537 0.144464 0.304760 0.648358 1.360516 2.975294
2025-06-08 0.031065 0.066941 0.140851 0.305712 0.669588 1.446272 3.262020
2025-06-15 0.029194 0.064610 0.139546 0.311339 0.701422 1.558120 3.621260
2025-06-22 0.026547 0.060257 0.133417 0.305565 0.707142 1.613340 3.858300
2025-06-29 0.024416 0.056799 0.128831 0.302670 0.718976 1.683552 4.139916
2025-07-06 0.022758 0.054223 0.125915 0.303263 0.738993 1.774963 4.485227
2025-07-13 0.022126 0.053987 0.128331 0.316814 0.791863 1.950713 5.065028
2025-07-20 0.021345 0.053293 0.129585 0.327669 0.839421 2.119339 5.650037
2025-07-27 0.020501 0.052344 0.130110 0.336755 0.883629 2.285015 6.250452
2025-08-03 0.019343 0.050463 0.128126 0.339159 0.910773 2.410313 6.759193